Half the British population is likely to face the development of cancer because of increased life expectancy, experts warn today.
The figures come from a forecast by Cancer Research UK, based on current diagnoses and longer life expectancy.
Harpal Kumar, of Cancer Research UK explains: "We’re living longer and that means we’re more likely to develop a range of age-related health issues. We need to plan ahead to make sure the NHS is fit to cope. If the NHS doesn’t act and invest now, we will face a crisis in the future – with outcomes from cancer going backwards."
The report shows that, despite survival doubling in the last 40 years, the ageing population will lead to a rise in cancer cases.
Researcher Professor Peter Sasieni, of Queen Mary University of London, UK, says: "Cancer is primarily a disease of old age, with more than 60% of all cases diagnosed in people aged over 65. If people live long enough then most will get cancer at some point. But there’s a lot we can do to make it less likely, like giving up smoking, being more active, drinking less alcohol and maintaining a healthy weight."
He adds: "If we want to reduce the risk of developing the disease we must redouble our efforts and take action now to better prevent the disease for future generations."
The authors call for better diagnostics, treatments, and earlier diagnosis, as well as increased prevention efforts. Mr Kumar points out that the health service must be adequately funded "if we’re to deal effectively with the growing burden of cancer and offer all patients the best chance of long term survival."
Ellie Rose, of Macmillan Cancer Support, warned: “Macmillan believes this surge in numbers poses a Herculean challenge for the NHS and for society.
"With cracks already beginning to show, the NHS will soon be unable to cope with the huge increase in demand for services – meaning the support that organisations like Macmillan provide will become even more critical."
Ahmad, A. S. et al. Trends in the lifetime risk of developing cancer in Great Britain: Comparison of risk for those born in 1930 to 1960. British Journal of Cancer 4 February 2015 doi: 10.1038/bjc.2014.606
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